Pick a model any model! while most T/V forecasters have it heading to Texas there really is no way of knowing since very little in the way of steering currents, part over land and shear quite high.
Slept in then lay here dozing wondering just what was so important i should get up for. kid comes in shouting "It's 9 allready we missed church!!!"
"Overcast with thunderstorms and rain showers. High of 86F. Breezy. Winds from
the SSE at 15 to 20 mph. Chance of rain 80%"
Might as well go back to bed :)
EDIT: from NWS
The track forecast is even more complex. The GFS insists on a track
toward the northeast as Debby becomes embedded within a large
mid-latitude trough. However...the ECMWF and the HWRF build a ridge
to the north of Debby and forecast a westward track. Given the
westward turn inherited from the previous forecast...as well as the
historical strong record of the ECMWF...the new official forecast
moves Debby initially a little bit to the northeast to reflect
current trends but then turns the cyclone back toward the west or
west-northwest in 24 to 36 hours. A majority of the GFS ensemble
members now are consistent with the deterministic run...which was
not the case yesterday...making a stronger case for the eastward
solution. We must be ready to make a change of the forecast track
at any time.
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